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Jeff Jacobs - page 19

Jeff Jacobs has 235 articles published.

Listing Agents and Open House

I saw a house today that is a pretty good deal. It was an Open House on my way home from church. The house has been on the market for a while judging by the stack of cards there on the entry table. It is an original owner home from the 1950s that is solidly built. It’s 3600 square feet, and priced at $399,950.

OK, it’s a good price, in a good location, in good shape, so why is it sitting there. I asked where the electrical box was, and the agent, who has had the listing for a month looked confused. I asked because the original Square D electrical box had been converted to a junction box.

Now I had already spent enough time in the house, and the agent was there talking with another guy. I seemed to be intruding even though the agent, and I know each other.

So I came home, and looked at the listing on the North West Multiple Listing Service. Holy Cow, it was one of those things that described the other flaky buyer who had backed out. The original listing was intact, but just an agent comment. The picture at least could have been changed.

I think an agent should know all about the house. The cards sitting in the hall way looked bad. It looked as though a whole stack of agents had given the property a pass, for no reason, and surely no explanation to a potential buyer. The house smelled, and an agent, and especially one in the business for as long as this one, would have an air freshener.

It’s a good listing, a good purchase for some one, and some one will buy it. I just think it could have been presented today with more feeling.

Multiple Real Estate Offers

Multiple offers are something to avoid.

I was researching some properties today, mainly getting a sense of how much of the market is short sales, and bank owned properties. The below $350K price range is mostly short sales here in Seattle. In Everett, and Burien the price point of short sales is lower, and in the $200K range. Many of the out lying areas show short sales in the $100K range, but those are for properties that sold for $200k in 2007. That’s where the big price drop statistics come from.

My next search, in Seattle, was in the $350K to $500K range. To my surprise I was finding new listing with comments that offers would be reviewed at some later date. Some listings were to be viewed over this week end, with offers to be submitted on Sunday evening. We haven’t seen that in a while, but it is a standard trick to generate interest.

The same warning should be taken now, as it has been given in the past ten years. The buyer never wins in a multiple offer situation. No matter how good the property looks, there is something wrong with a tactic that creates hype. Make an offer if you want, there is no rush, and even make a low offer. Chances are that in a contrived hysteria the offer that gets accepted will be from some one who is responding to pressure. The chances are very good that the buyer will back out.

Just wait it out, there is something better out there.

Buyer’s Agent & Commissions Talk

While we are talking about Real Estate commissions let’s talk about value. Just because you pay a certain price for a property, or just because other properties sold in the area for a certain price, doesn’t translate into a value.

When an appraiser comes out there are things they look at that add, or subtract from the value of Comparable Properties. Comparable Properties is kind of a meaningless term. I use town homes as my best example. Comparable Town Homes can be just as worthless as the one that is being appraised. Adding value for a view doesn’t translate into a property value. The view has a value, but the property is questionable. I’m told I may need to adjust my prejudice against town homes as time goes on.

The same is true in a property with obsolescence. The interior may be gorgeous, but the systems may need updating. One classic example is when the appraiser, or home inspector notes there is low water pressure in a newly remodeled kitchen, or bathroom. It could be caused by a lot of things, but there is a good chance it’s the pipes. So the remodel is actually a liability to getting at those pipes.

A buyer’s agent should know property value. They should know the market place, but they should also know what has value, and what to avoid. You learn that by looking at houses, closing transactions, and getting feed back. It helps to have taken apart a few places.

People in the Real Estate business, lifers, are worth the time to find. All agents charge the same, but a few have value.

Real Estate Commissions

There has been a lot of discussion about how Real Estate agents get paid. The Real Estate commission is traditionally 6% under $700K and 5% over $700K. It used to be 7% when property prices were lower.

Now that property prices are falling again the commission is an even bigger topic of conversation. People are stuck, having less equity in a home makes it harder to sign up for a fee that takes away 6% of the purchase price.

In commercial Real Estate the commissions can be between 5% and 10%. It depends on the price, and difficulty, but all commissions are negotiable.

I used to charge 3% as a Buyer’s Agent, and if you bought through me it was 1% for me to list the property. In order to sell I could charge 1% if you did what I asked. If the property was in good condition, it photographed well, and it was priced well I had no problem listing for 1%.

In my opinion working with a buyer is harder because there are so many variables. The second part about that is that you have to buy well in order to have any value in a property. There have been times when a transaction was so easy that I only charged a fee to get the property closed, and pay my expenses. Some times I would refer the client to an attorney who could handle legal issues, and I was only paid a fee for the referral, usually about $200.

You can get a Real Estate transaction closed through an attorney for as low as about $1200, to $1600 including escrow fees. The agent is paid, we hope, based on the expertise they bring to the transaction.

Online Real Estate Brokerage

There is a discussion about looking for properties online. For me my first experience was in about 2000. That seems like a long time ago.

The Multiple Listing Service stored data in a central location. The company that handled the data for the Northwest Multiple Listing Service was called Moore Data. I bought a software program from them to do Comparative Market Analysis. It worked great. It made a nice presentation at a time before it became a common tool.

With the program I was also able to share information with other people on line, through e-mails. The e-mail system quickly became a common Real Estate practice. The Real Estate agent would e-mail clients a list of properties. Soon after our Multiple Listing Service began offering an online version of the data base Real Estate agents use.

John L Scott was the first Brokerage that I recall who invested in the technology of online searches in conjunction with Microsoft. Windermere seemed to be dragging their feet. Coldwell banker made the most significant strides nationally.

Then a company called Zillow began the ambitious project of a national data base for Real Estate. Governments had converted sales data to an online system from microfiche. It opened up a whole new world of analysis of tax data.

The next question is, if all of this information was available how did Real Estate prices get so high?

Seattle Snow Storm On The Way

If you watch the news, you obviously know a big snow storm is on the way.  It is predicted to slam Seattle late tonight and tomorrow.  In the event this storm drops more than 7 inches in a 24hr period it could be one of the top 10 storms of all time for the city of Seattle.  Forecasters are predicting 5-10 inches approximately. In Puyallup, Washington (south of Seattle) I know they are sitting on about 1.5 inches currently.  In the event of 9 inches of snow it would be the most in dropped in 27 years.

Facts:

  • The most snow fall in a 24hr period for Seattle was Jan 31st 1916.  Amazingly 21.5 inches fell.
  • In 1985 – 8 inches of snow fell on Seattle Washington.
  • A snow and ice storm in 1996 shut down the city’s Metro for the first time in its history.

Ron Paul For President

I once wrote an article here about the trillion dollar deficit he have in America.  It was created for both humor and factual info about our Government spending habits.  It includes and outline of the worthless agencies we have created just to use up tax money and things we may want to cut.  I admit I was inspired by the “HOPE” brand Obama brought to the people.  It sold him and his campaign.  The campaign grew in power and eventually overshadowed everyone else running.  American was hooked.  I for one didn’t vote for Obama.  Looking back that was a good decision, however, I not sure the outcome would have been that different though.  I believe McCain would have handled the war spending better and in general made larger cuts on spending.  Hardcore fans still have “HOPE” for Obama’s “HOPE” campaign and many will leave Obama high and dry.  He just didn’t deliver, unfortunately. 

I talk about political brands and how money buys campaigns.  Because of this, I am predicting a win for Mitt Romney.   He has the best brand to date and with more money you can get the exposure needed to convince the public for their vote.  It’s easier for companies to invest in you (with contributions).  It’s also easier to get endorsements from the other runners.  If a runner up is failing in the polls/votes and realizes they don’t stand a chance, the guy with money will take care of his/her expenses for running (or debt) for their endorsement.  After a few endorsements, you grow even stronger in the public eye.  Sadly, this is how the game is played.

I also look at Newt Gingrich.  He has a fair amount of money from doing “historian work” for Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae.  Both companies were federally backed when the housing bust came as you know.  He says he was just a “historian” but Newt collected 1.6 million that we know if publicly.  In reality, he was hired to calm down the republicans making them turn down the heat and back off of the companies.  It was a cleaver move by Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae and Newt was in on it.  Unfortunately, Newt is just another politician playing all the games that the others are playing.  Sad but true.

The more I read about Ron Paul in the news the more I like this guy.  He has no brand and lacks the money really needed to win, however.  He is not the best speaker or salesman (like Romney or Gingrich) but I truly believe this guy can get the job done.  He doesn’t really care for the Federal Reserve, wants to cut five departments (needs to be done drastically),  lower corporate taxes, and allow younger workers to opt out of the failing Social Security system.  He won’t kiss anyone’s ass rump and he’s not a political tool like the others.  He wants to cut  $1 trillion from the federal budget during his FIRST YEAR in office – which is great.  I am tired of hearing how we are going to cut a trillion dollars over 10 YEARS currently!  We are 15 trillion in debt right now and spending over 4 billion a day.  We don’t have 10 years for such a little cut.  He would like to cut is presidential pay to 40K compared to the 400K it is now.  There is a lot more but the point to all this is that this guy is a do’er.  I truly believe he will do what he says he’ll do and won’t be bought out like the others. 

My voting strategies have developed over time but now with every canidate locally or presidential, I look for a person who will put their neck on the line and make a solid decision (good or bad).  A decision to cut.  A decision to fire.  I just want a decision on something to solve the problems.  Most politicians today don’t do that and that’s part of the problem.  It’s just the same old some and dance.  They want to keep everyone happy by not cutting anything or firing anyone (less work means you need to let people go).  They sit around and think up new ways to build revenue on a failed system.  They build tolls on the roads or add traffic cams for the city.  Increase street parking to $8 and hour until 8pm in Seattle.  These additions continue to rise because of people wanting to keep their jobs (get re-elected) while back-dooring these little money makers.   Another is tax the rich.  That is a simple one because most of the voters are broke as a joke and it doesn’t relate to them “so who cares” lets just take it from them right?  

Whatever your decision is for the presidential campaign pick someone who will cut and isn’t easily influenced.  That is the only “HOPE” we have to turn this country around.

 

Seattle New Years Eve Parties

I must admit one of the my favorite nights in Seattle is New Years Eve.  My other favorites include Halloween and now Santanarcy ( you must go to this if you haven’t before).  There is something about these nights that people just love.  Everyone is friendly and in a talkative mood.  The environment is much different than your typical Friday or Saturday night.

New Years Eve falls on a Saturday this year so it should be a really exciting night.  I have done some research and came up with what I believe are your best options for ringing in 2012.

Seattle Indulgence Party

I have been to this party the last two years.  It was fun but expensive at $60 + $6.23 service fee per ticket.  The event is held at one of Paul Allen’s Palaces (Called the Seattle EMP).  It’s a big event with 3 levels and different music.  For the last 3 years its been the same format.  Usually 80’s (at the small side bar), some cover band (big stage), and hip hop (upstairs).  The last two times I was there the small 80’s band outshined the main band playing on the big stage.  The big stage dance floor is busy but never full.  I just checked and I looks like it’s the same this year.    There will be line outside to get in.  They are pretty slow checking in the tickets.  They do provide a lot of free hats and party favors.  The most disappointing thing about this location (beside the ticket price, drink prices, main band) is that you can’t step outside to see the space needle fireworks when the big moment arrives.  You are stuck inside the location and are not allowed to leave.  Well… you can leave but you just won’t be let back in.  There is no balcony or any big windows to watch it.  That is a big disappointment because you literally are right next door to the space needle.  Being so close to it (hearing the fireworks outside) and having to watch it on TV just sucks.  That is very disappointing.

Bonza Bash

This will be held at the Hyatt Olive 8 Hotel in Seattle.  I haven’t been to it personally.  Tickets cost even more than the Indulgence Party.  They are $70 +$7.23 service fee per ticket.  I would say this is one of more luxurious events of the night.  It’s black tie which means lots of tuxes and black dresses.  I like more casual locations when It comes to the dress code (Indulgence is casual) so I won’t be visiting this one.  If you have a date planned and you want to wine and dine – then this place maybe for you.

Euphoria Masquerade Party

This looked interesting.  It’s a masquerade party so people will be all dressed up (high fashion) with masks.  I think this would be another good location if you have a date or wife and will be partying with the special person.  As a single guy always ready to mingle, this one is off my list.  One, there will be lots of couples there. Two, if everyone is wearing masks how you going to talk with people and get that special kiss at night?  Sounds like a lot of work for the single people.  This event is held at Seattle’s Republiq and ticket prices are about $17 dollars.

Masquerade Party At Pink

Another Masquerade party.  This one is located at the Pink Ultra Lounge.  Cost is $15 for ladies and $25 for gents.  I have been the Pink Ultra Lounge before, however, not for any NYE parties.  The location is better than the Republiq event.  I won’t be visiting due to the masks and ultra classy dress code (like republiq) but if I had to choose I would pick Pink.

Roaring 20’s Party

Located on Pier 56 aboard the ship The Royal, this event will be a dress up event.  You can expect to see gangsters, molls, politicians, hit men, jazz singers and Hollywood starlets.  The ticket price is $245.  per ticket.  I won’t be going due to the ticket price and there are just so many cheaper options available.

Sparkle Party

This is held at the See Sound Lounge in Belltown.  That location is great.  Ticket prices at the door are $40 ($30 advance).  I have this on my favorites to check out and probably will show up.  The music is electronic which can get annoying after about the first hour.  One positive is that they say they are staying open until 3am.  Unlike all the others closing at 2am.  Noc Noc is the only other club that stays open late that I know of (5am).  Belltown is probably one of the best locations in Seattle for nightlife.  If you don’t like this location, you could easily walk around the block and find something else happening.

THE ISLANDER Boat Party

This looks pretty good.  Ticket prices are $40 per ticket.  I saw last years video of the event and looks good.  The only problem I see is if the party is lame I’M STUCK ON A FREAKING BOAT!  I am also nervous of the gender ratio like how many women to men.  Nothing worse then getting stuck on a boat with a bunch of dudes on New Years Eve (unless that is your thing).  Last year it was named the booze cruise and I once experienced a booze cruise in Hawaii – it was awesome!  I’m considering this one.

Ambers

In Belltown this is one of my favorite locations.  If all else fails I will be visiting here because you just can’t go wrong with it.  Cover has always been free, however, it is NYE so I am unsure if they will charge.

Tia Lou’s

Located next to Ambers this is a good dance club.  Again you can’t fail going here if you need a solid location.  $20 at the door if you decide to visit.

So there you have it folks my top picks for Seattle New Year Eve parties.  If you’re going out or staying home just have fun and take a second to set some goals next year.  What can you do better or what do you want to accomplish in the new year?  It’s a new year and an opportunity to start something new in your life.

In fact, do yourself a favor.  When the clock strikes 12:05 am, take a few seconds to look at the bright moon above and think how blessed you are.  At the end of the day, we are all humans made of flesh and bones and really blessed to just be living life on this big green planet traveling 66,000 mph.  From the big blue sky, the fresh air we breath, to the shining seas full of life, we’re just small pieces in this big universe.  Our time on this planet is short and one day our flesh and bones will be returned to this big planet.  Breath in and breath out – before you know it…. that is life……you have to make the most of it.

This night is a fresh start and one of those rare opportunities every year you can experience that feeling.

OK now back to the party!!

 

 

 

 

 

Seattle’s Corson Avenue War Zone – PT. 2

This is a follow-up post we created when Georgetown’s Corson Ave was shut down for several months while they made it “more safe”.   The Georgetown Corson Ave post had some initial photos we took.  We have several more now available.  This has to be one of the worst road jobs I have ever seen.  They didn’t even pave the road!  Now it just has a bunch of patches all over the place. 

520 Bridge Toll Is Here

Hope you’re ready to pay the man more because the 520 bridge toll will be starting on the 29th of December. Just another example of “thinking stuff up” to generate more revenue for the state and it’s financial troubles instead of actually fixing the root of the problem – spending. It’s been discussed on this site over and over again from different angles but it’s the norm when it comes to financial troubles. It’s just an easy fix and sell to the public I guess. I honestly believe most people are sheep and follow the crowd anyway and that is how most of this stuff is passed. With some TV ads and the use of scarcity the crowd falls for it.

If you commute and use the 520 bridge regularly like going to work daily you can expect to pay around $1,600 per year. I wouldn’t call that pocket change. It’s about $160 a month.

I guess toll are one of the new avenues for generating more money. It’s not enough that we pay for the roads with our taxes and almost 50% of your car gas is taxed. Parking in Seattle will cost you $8 dollars an hour! I predict we’ll see a lot more down the road and maybe even the viaduct when that project is completed. That would be an easy approval for the Seattle council members. Add in the HOV lane fees they are collecting now. If you’re not connected with the Good To Go program (to debit your account automatically), even more fees are applied. It’s all just crazy.

The 520 bridge toll is a slap in the face to so many people. We’ve talked about the financial planning at the Washington Department of Transportation and have proven that they can’t manage a dollar. They are worse than the USPS. This will only put more money in their pockets and even less on the roads. 1,000,000 dollars a week in fact.

What I find even more sleazy about the 520 bridge toll is that the state received a federal grant. It was a $123,000,000 million dollar payday grant that pays for helping subsidizing buses, toll equipment and other expenses related to the new toll. Public transport, van pools, are already except vehicles etc they don’t have to pay the toll anyway (or tabs) so really it’s just a incentive to start a new toll! Gosh $123 million dollar paycheck is a sleazy incentive to start a toll don’t you think?

Here is a good question, living in Seattle, why would anyone want to go the east side to do any shopping anymore? The reality is businesses and local sales will only decrease hurting the situation even more. If you’re from Seattle or the east side and want to shop – it’s going to cost you an extra $7 dollars. It’s almost not even worth leaving the house anymore. You can get a better deal online, pay no sales tax on it, and get free shipping.

Not So Super Committee Obviously Fails

As predicted, the not so “Super Committee” has failed.  It’s no big surprise to me really.  It was doomed before it even started.  The 12 political members of this committee are mostly to blame for this whole money problem anyway.  They all have been part of the system and continue to play the game.  They will continue as normal after the Holidays with their careers with no real decisions.  By not making any real or hard stands (decisions) they will keep their heads off the chopping block, lay low, and continue on getting elected and playing he game every year.  Collecting their big fat checks every month, richy rich health care, and pension programs that the average Joe will never end come close to achieving.  It’s a shame really because they all should be fire.  Every single one of them.  Republicans want some cuts and the Democrats want to tax the rich.

The cuts Republican want are not enough and taxing the rich is not a viable solution.  Right now 3% has been cut.  That is extremely pathetic honestly.  The other side, taxing the rich is just a nice way of asking for more money from the public.  Burning more money in a failed system.  Doesn’t fix the problem and with the currently spend that will be used up really quick.  It doesn’t solve the problem at all.

So what is the solution.  Personally I like Warren Buffets suggestion – here is what he said, “I could end the deficit in five minutes.  You just pass a law that says that any time there’s a deficit of more than three percent of GDP, all sitting members of Congress are ineligible for re-election.”

Now that sounds like a good plan to me.  Unfortunately, we will never see any laws like this because the people who would pass the law are the same people who would lose their jobs.  That is not going to happen.

I like numbers so lets look at these simple U.S financial figures and recent spending cuts.  This is the actual 2011 federal budget and their “BIG” spending cuts.

U.S Income:  2,170,000,000,000
Federal Budget: 3,820,000,000,000
New Debt:  1,650,000,000,000
National Debt:  14,271,000,000,000
Recent Budget Cuts:  38,500,000,000 (about 1% of budget)

To help put these numbers into perspective, lets look at a simplified real World example using the same data.  I removed the zeros to make the finacial numbers and comparison easier.

Annual income for the Smith family:  $21,700
Amount of money the Smith family spent:  $38,200
Amount of new credit card debt: $16,500
Outstanding balance on the credit card:  $142,710
Amount cut from the budget:  $385

This is the lame cuts I am talking about.  We need serious cuts to fix the system.  It’s not about asking for more money which will only put a temporary bandaid on the bigger problem.  Cut the programs, Cut the spending, and Cut the politicians not fixing or making suggestions.  Put laws in place to control spending and a forcing a balance budget (with limits).  Hold politicians and slacker politicians accountable.

Time to clean house and remove anyone and everyone not correcting these issues.

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